Ufabet are often very profitable if a person know the strategies this “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make cash. One of the primary secrets that clever money gamblers use is knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a ideal case in point. I analyzed typically the West Las vegas vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Va had typically the edge in the video game. Yet , I also understood that there are a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not gamble on this specific game. Here is my own analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Las vegas versus Louisville

This sport features all the indicators of being one regarding the very best games involving the year, along with each teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, the two along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, having Western world Virginia coming again from becoming down big in the 4th one fourth to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport appearance like this year?

In the event that this video game were appearing played at some sort of natural field, West California would certainly probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost considering July. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they lost to Virginia Tech. Through the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kinds of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt often the scales in favor involving WVU intended for tonight’s online game. Plus, the particular added benefit is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This can not seem to be like much, but in a in close proximity match-up this way, that extra point will certainly make the big difference between a new push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home video games.

Plus if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since Dec 18, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. four points each game in your own home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. 7 points for each game at home. In case anyone decided not to do the math concepts, that means considering that his or her last home damage they are yet to averaged beating their adversaries simply by about thirty four factors per game.

Furthermore remarkable, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the particular divide, on average, by 13 points per video game at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

The majority of those stats were piled up during the 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They’ve acquired recent games by which they have already only scored twenty eight, twenty-three, 24 points. And these video games weren’t against Ohio Stycken. or Michigan. They were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

In essence of which this is still a close video game to phone. Although the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s not any explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to middle 20’s. My honest advice is usually to lay off this kind of game and definitely not bet at all. There will be better game titles this end of the week with more simple rewards.

The final score on this game was Louisville forty-four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to go back a punt for a new TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s fringe wasn’t so big which they could very well still win right after producing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this particular game, people significant regarding wagering saved money they will can offer better employ on upcoming games.